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The Weekly Review: Week Six: Referees and David Villa

Insert paranoid statement here

Hardly a week to remember. While Barcelona did beat Valencia to progress to the Copa del Rey final, they also lost to Osasuna, and coupled with Real Madrid’s controversial win over Levante, you can safely say that Barcelona will not win the 2011/12 La Liga title. That honour (barring an implosion of epic proportions) will be Jose Mourinho’s, thus cementing his legacy as an exceptional club manager. Of course the Blaugrana could still overshadow that achievement by winning or at least progressing further in the UEFA Champions League (compared to Real). After all, if a team is ten points clear of their nearest rivals, the fans will start to think about European glory, so it’s up to Mourinho to deliver.

However, he knows that Barcelona are still a contender, and in some ways, he knows that they are still capable of dishing out another Manita if he gets his tactics wrong. It has become increasingly evident that Jose may be a superb tactician, but against Barcelona, he freezes, and often gets it wrong. In fact, the majority of the time he is outclassed. Whatever happens in the rest of the league season, we only need to see the "old" Barcelona for nine more matches this season. In fact, given the two-legged format in the UCL, around six games is a more accurate statement.

Star-divide

Referees

Pep Guardiola makes a habit of never criticising referees in public, and he tries to enforce the same rules on his players. However, while the club may live and die by this rule, the fans do not have to. So, in summary, the inferior quality of La Liga refereeing reared its ugly head this weekend, with possibly title-clinching consequences. First off, in Barcelona’s match with Osasuna, Alexis Sanchez had three goals disallowed for offside. I know how quick the Chilean is, it must be difficult to keep up with his lightening quick runs, but this was just diabolical.

The first incident was clearly ONSIDE, while the second was also ONSIDE. The third was an extremely close decision, and ultimately hinges upon whether Sergi Roberto got a touch on the cross. Personally, I do not think he did from the real-time replay, while it took countless slow-motion replays to convince me that he might have got a touch. So, it puzzles me that the linesman could make a instantaneous decision based on one viewing of the cross, especially when he had around two or three players to follow.

Could it be that the assistant referees are taking the easy way out by raising their flags? Usually Alexis is so far removed from any other defender when he receives the ball, you think he must have been offside. Apparently, that is more feasible than a well-timed pass (from the best passing side in the world) and a well-timed run from a world-class player...

But then we had the Real Madrid referees who failed to spot a blatant kick from Sergio Ramos.

Sergio-ramos_medium

via 3.bp.blogspot.com

Sergio Ramos may not have the reputation of say Pepe, but his red card count is the highest in Real Madrid history. The 100+ year history of Real Madrid. Did I mention he has only been there for seven years, and that he has received more red cards than Fernando Hierro who played in around 600 games for Madrid? Yeah, that’s the same Ramos who didn’t receive a red card for the violent conduct displayed above.

More depressingly, Real Madrid have been awarded 11 penalties in the league, this season alone accounting for over a FIFTH of the penalties awarded in La Liga. Then, even though they have Pepe and Sergio Ramos in central defense, they have not conceded a single one. This is probably the result of solid defensive play, but to be 11-0 with penalties awarded in your matches is awfully suspicious, or at least incredibly unusual. I don’t quite know how many penalties Barcelona have been awarded in the same timeframe, but my guess would be around four or five, far less than 11 anyway. I don’t think there is any "conspiracy" in favour of Real Madrid, but clearly, there is no bias towards Barcelona either, no matter how much people claim there is.

David Villa

Oh Guaje, we miss you. Ironically, I was very much unattached to David Villa prior to his leg break what with his horrendous run of form and what not, but now, I would give nigh on anything to have him back. With Messi unable to sustain his super-human goal-scoring exploits for the time being at least, there is only one or two players likely to score in a Barcelona match: the two summer signings Alexis and Cesc Fabregas. Aside from that, Pedro has not stayed injury-free for long enough, while the two young wingers Isaac Cuenca and Cristian Tello simply cannot be expected to score every match.

With Villa out, and Pedro often at 50-60% fitness, the Blaugrana are missing out on around 30 goals over the course of the season. Factor in the loss of Bojan, and that figure would increase to 40ish goals, or around one per match. Who wouldn’t struggle in that situation?

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Good article

I’m not saying this is a conspiracy but ref decisions have cost us in the league.

Barca penalties not awarded:
La Liga match day 5 away to Valencia (score at 2-2) – stone wall
match day 7 away at Sporting (score at 2-2) – probable
match day 8 home to Racing (score at 3-0) – stone wall
match day 18 away to Espanyol (score at 1-1) – stone wall
match day 19 home to Betis (score 3-2) – stone wall

Barca called wrongly offside:
Match day 14 away at Getafe (score at 1-0) – goal disallowed

In La Liga RM has been awarded 1 penalty for an offence which happeed outside the box (match day 3), not conceded 2 clear penalties (match days 18 and 22) and repeatedly the phrase [Pepe/Ramos] are lucky to still be on the park is repeated in most la liga matches. Not just against Barcelona.

Two very attacking teams; two top class teams – you would expect them to be awarded roughly the same amounts of penalties over the course of a season…

09/10 Liga season – FCB 4; RM 4
10/11 Liga season – FCB 5; RM 11
11/12 Liga season – FCB 3; RM 10

I don’t think it is a conspiracy but RM fans cannot say Barca is favoured in the league.

Additionally – throw in 14 hamstring injuries, 2 cruicate knee ligament tears and a broken tibia.

The League may be lost but I would still have Barca as favourities for the Champions League. It feels a bit like the year we lost the Champions League to Inter. Make no mistake, next season Barca will be extra determined to get their paws on the La Liga trophy!

by Mnand on Feb 13, 2012 11:09 AM CET reply actions  

Nice comment, glad you posted it.

just on the controversial decisions thats…5 maybe 6 points more for barca? not counting the probable penalties….and maybe even a drop of points for RM….although, its difficult to factor in how games would have gone and etc etc….maybe not a scandal…but definitely controversial…happening way too often…
odd thing is, its a week in week out occurence…just so frustrating, even if its not all right, consistency in decisions would so help…but right now, since ive had to follow RM’s games as well (as painful as that is)…its like everytime we are in a tough spot and actually deserve a call…we just won’t get it…the Osasuna game was really really bad…it was one bad call after another..and didnt they score a goal with one of their players offside? which wasn’t given….
and to make matters worse, Madrid have been soo lucky with their decisions…ensuring the gap increased…
anyway, simply nothing we can do about it…and talking about it somehow just makes it worse for me…im glad the players and pep are sticking to a “they make mistakes” policy…dont know how they do it but its the only option really…not like the ref’s are gonna improve:s…
glad CL is back and i hope UEFA have a better set of refs than the league…

Follow me on Twitter @InderMethil

by Inder Methil on Feb 13, 2012 11:30 AM CET up reply actions  

Very illuminating stats!

I wouldn’t go as far as a conspiracy against Barca, but I think the policy of not talking about referees is costing us in those decisions. Think about it: out of all 50/50 (for the sake of argument) cases, a referee will give out favorable decisions 50% of the time without any pressure. But when he knows he might be scolded by a high-profile manager, he will give more, let’s say 70%.

I respect Pep’s moral choice with respect to the referees though since he doesn’t want to make their lives more difficult that they already have. Plus, his choice might have positive intangible effects in terms of respect from players and management and colleagues.

by duongnh on Feb 14, 2012 6:41 AM CET up reply actions  

I miss Villa a lot

He was actually the player that brought me to this club. I had always been into football, but living in the US made it hard to follow professional football. I mostly just watched the World Cup and the Euros. During South Africa 2010, I rooted for Spain the whole time, because my cousins live there. I fell in love with Villa’s playing and all the goals he scored. After the tournament, I decided I really should et into club football because I couldn’t bear waiting until the Euros in 2012. I looked up some club teams and picked Barcelona because that’s where Villa had just moved to. I had no idea they were the best team in the world at the time. I did a lot of research, and starting watching every game, and, well, here I am now:). Hoping David Villa recovers soon.

by Sebanovic on Feb 13, 2012 12:53 PM CET via mobile reply actions  

It has not been easy.

I miss Villa almost to much, I think Villa and Messi worked well together, to me a great partnership.
As for Madrid, at least they cant point a finger anymore, then again nothing will stop Mourinho.

by meadow on Feb 13, 2012 1:48 PM CET via mobile up reply actions  

...

would have been great to see Messi,Villa and Alexis huh?…damn these injuries…with a full squad, pedro could have taken time to get back to form…although, we might never have seen Tello and Cuenca with the first team…so guess there are perks…ugh…still would have been nice to have Villa firing in all cylinders…

Follow me on Twitter @InderMethil

by Inder Methil on Feb 13, 2012 2:54 PM CET up reply actions  

I think you can't look at our pentalties statistically

One of the qualities of real Madrid is our heavy present around the penalty box. And we like to keep the ball close to the 18. So it is not far from expectation, to see a lot of penalties. For comparison, I don’t think any team has played against 10 men team as much as Barcelona in the recent years. I don’t have any statistics, but I think it is more 9 times a season. However, I believeit is the nature of your passing game. You move the ball fast and your players have highly dribbles techniques. You expect such thing to happen. But if you just look at it from the statics point, you can make conspiracy easily.
In all of Real Madrid penalty I think one of them was wrongly given. I can’t remember the game. But CR7 was outside the box, when the player tackled, but referee gave a penalty. The rest of them were correct, and after the game we addressed it.
And about ramos. you should agian see it inside the situation. Levante always play a dirty game against us. They kick the players when there is no ball, they kick players when they are on the ground, they waste alot of time if they are in front. and they are looking for our player to lose thier control. (as Sami khedira did last time and ramos this time). But I see what you are saying about referee not saying it. (and if you look at it thier number 15 hit him on the face first)

by Payam Fakhraie on Feb 14, 2012 1:20 AM CET reply actions  

lol

so everytime a player hits one from ur team…u are allowed to hit back? is that the logic you are using?…
(wonder what we can do to pepe then;)
anyway i get your point about statistics…and im sure everyone here gets that too….

Follow me on Twitter @InderMethil

by Inder Methil on Feb 14, 2012 4:10 AM CET up reply actions  

On Ramos

You’re right about Levante playing dirty game but that does not exonerate Ramos from his stupidity of kicking the opponent in the penalty box. The lineman should see it and I am OK with the penalty not being given if not because a few weaker penalties have been given to RM this season.

I agree with you though that statistics doesn’t tell the whole story since it might be just because of a team’s unique style. For example, our opponent tends to have players sent off because most of them choose to be physical in an attempt to get to the ball. Or we have the fewest yellow cards because we already keep most of the ball and don’t usually have to fight for it.

by duongnh on Feb 14, 2012 6:54 AM CET up reply actions  

To be honest...

The stats that I put up were not there to prove anything – just to show that there has been cases where some ref decisions have potentially made significate difference to Barca’s success in the league. Stats don’t tell the whole story but two attacking teams of similar power like Barca and Real over the course of a season should earn roughly (!) the same number of penalties. If Barca had been given the penalty shouts mentioned in my post this would have been the case anyway. Stats are by no means the whole story but sometimes provide an illuminating sense of clarity. There is no conspiracy…just sometimes inconsistency…in ref decisions.

by Mnand on Feb 14, 2012 8:15 AM CET up reply actions  

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